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School egress data: comparing the configuration and validation of five egress modelling tools

机译:学校出口数据:比较五种出口建模工具的配置和验证

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摘要

Data were collected between 2011 and 2014 from five evacuations involving the same school buildings located in Spain. Children from 6 to 16\u2009years of age were observed during the evacuation exercises. Background information was collected on key factors deemed to influence evacuation performance: a description of the geometry, the population involved, the procedures employed and the organization of the drills conducted. Using live observations and video footage of these drills, evacuation data were collected, focusing on the pre-evacuation times, the routes employed, the travel speeds adopted and the arrival times. These data informed a range of a posteriori simulations, conducted by using four computer models (buildingEXODUS, MassMotion, Pathfinder and STEPS) and the Society of Fire Protection Engineering hydraulic model (i.e. Society of Fire Protection Engineering hand calculations). Comparisons were drawn between the models' output and against the observed outcome for one of the trials to determine the accuracy of the model predictions given that they were configured by using the initial conditions for a specific evacuation. The purpose of this work is to (1) provide insight into the configuration of these models for equivalent scenarios, (2) examine any variation in the simulated conditions given equivalent initial conditions, and (3) provide suggestions on how to perform validation studies for multiple evacuation models.
机译:在2011年至2014年之间,从涉及西班牙同一所教学楼的五次疏散中收集了数据。在疏散演习中观察到6至16岁的儿童。收集了有关被认为影响疏散性能的关键因素的背景信息:对几何形状,涉及的人口,所采用的程序以及进行的演习的描述。利用现场观察和这些演习的录像,收集了疏散数据,重点是疏散前的时间,采用的路线,采用的行进速度和到达时间。这些数据通过使用四种计算机模型(buildingEXODUS,MassMotion,Pathfinder和STEPS)和消防工程学会液压模型(即消防工程学会手工计算)进行了一系列后验模拟。对于其中一项试验,在模型输出与观察到的结果之间进行了比较,以确定模型预测的准确性,因为它们是通过使用特定疏散的初始条件配置的。这项工作的目的是(1)为等效场景提供对这些模型配置的深入了解;(2)在等效等效初始条件下检查模拟条件的任何变化;以及(3)提供有关如何针对以下条件进行验证研究的建议多个疏散模型。

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